2:20 – Perth – DAILY RECORD NOVICES´ HURDLE (CLASS 4) (4yo+) Good To Firm 2m110y
One of the best known statistics in horse racing concerns Gordon Elliott’s runners at Perth. Since May 2006 he has run 242 horses at Perth of which 70 have won for a winning strike rate of 28.9%.
Today’s race is a non Handicap Novices’ hurdle. In none Handicap Hurdle races since September 2006 he has had 74 runners with 23 winning for a 31.1% winning strike rate. Looking at non Handicap Novices’ Hurdles in isolation makes very good reading from a statistical point of view. Since September 2006 he has had 26 runners of which 11 have won producing an excellent winning strike rate of 42.3%.
When we look at the same types of race with Jason Maguire riding for Gordon Elliott the statistics stack up as follows:
- None Handicap Hurdles – 11 winners from 34 runs (32.4%)
- None Handicap Novices’ Hurdles – 4 winners from 10 runs (40.0%)
Gordon Elliott runs Brave Beauty in the race today with Jason Maguire riding. Brave Beauty has run in 10 hurdle races to date, winning on three occasions and finishing 2nd three times.
The going at Perth today is Good to Firm. Brave Beauty has run in Good to Firm ground three times finishing second once. She runs over 2 miles today, a distance she has run over 5 times previously. She has won once and finished 2nd once over this distance.
Her record at Perth is excellent. She has run here twice before and won on both occasions. She enjoys running in small fields (she runs in a field of 6 runners today) and has won twice from five starts in fields of 5 to 8 runners.
Jason Maguire has ridden her just once before which was on her last run at Perth earlier this month, when she won by 5 lengths in a field of 7 runners.
Maguire rides Perth very well. Over the last 5 seasons he has a 31% winning strike rate at the track when riding in hurdle races. His overall strike rate at the course in 29%.
